September 26, 2020

Coronavirus: Positivity charge down for 3 fortnights in a row

(This story initially appeared in on Aug 29, 2020)

NEW DELHI: Holding out hope amid rising Covid-19 circumstances, the all-India positivity charge, whole confirmed circumstances per 100 exams, measured over a 14-day interval, confirmed a declining pattern for 3 consecutive fortnights — from a excessive of 11.23% between July 15-28 to eight.84% throughout August 1-14 and now at 7.87% (between August 14-27) although states like Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Chhattisgarh stay worries.

Maharashtra, accounting for nearly 22% of India’s 34 lakh confirmed circumstances until Friday, continued to indicate a positivity charge of 20% during the last 14-day interval, between August 14-27. After briefly moderating at 16.5% between August 1-14, Maharashtra’s positivity charge has risen, indicating a worrying unfold of the illness. Barring the primary half of August, the state’s positivity charge has been over 20% since June 5.

A positivity charge of 5% or beneath over a 14-day interval is taken into account a ‘inexperienced zone’ the place a state can safely calm down lockdown measures. Something above that mark is taken into account a ‘crimson zone’. Additionally, increased the positivity charge, extra seemingly that solely the sickest are being examined and a big contaminated inhabitants stays untested and factors to the illness spreading.

Within the newest TOI research, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu and Delhi, in that order, had the very best positivity charges. Andhra Pradesh had a positivity charge of 17% within the August 14-27 interval, adopted by Karnataka with 14%, Chhattisgarh and West Bengal with 9% every, Tamil Nadu with 8% and Delhi with 7%.

Delhi once more appears to be slipping again into the crimson zone with its positivity charge climbing for the primary time after remaining at round 6% for 2 consecutive fortnights until August 14.

Chhattisgarh has emerged as a brand new hotspot with its positivity charge within the newest fortnight reaching 9%. Within the earlier two fortnights, the state had a positivity charge between 5% and 6%. Tamil Nadu has proven some promise with its positivity charge declining for 3 successive fortnights from a excessive of 10% throughout July 15-28 to 9% between August 1-14 and down to eight% throughout August 14-27.